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An Analysis of Bobcats' Draft Picks Through History: Part 1 (2004-2005)

The Charlotte Bobcats haven't been an NBA franchise for too long of a time, so it's relatively easy to comb through the various draft picks made by the team during the last decade. Given that we're still in the heat of a lockout, this seems like as good a time as any to brush off the Bobcats' history book (it's really more of a novella) and analyze how the team has fared with their picks (an important tool to gauge how a young franchise has been run as a whole). Meet me after the jump for fun times with Raymond Felton!

Star-divide

Emeka OkaforRound 1, Pick 2 (2004): Okafor was the first pick in Bobcats' history, and also the best one. While Okafor was never a "franchise player" in the dominating sense that Chris Paul or LeBron James might be, the performances of Okafor during his five years in Charlotte were mired with consistency. His offensive efficiency improved as time continued (from 44.7% FG in his rookie year to 56.1% FG in his final season with Charlotte), adding nicely to a game that already included solid defense and consistent rebounding. In a league devoid of great centers, Okafor was always good. He could be trusted to give the team 14 points, 11 rebounds, and more than 30 minutes on daily basis. Few centers in the modern NBA have been able to provide that over any kind of long-term span. Considering the track record of 2nd picks in recent NBA history (hint: it isn't a positive distinction to have, beyond Kevin Durant and a few others), the Bobcats' selection of Okafor deserves praise. Grade: A-

Bernard Robinson- Round 2, Pick 45 (2004)- For more than two seasons, Bernard Robinson served as a slightly below-average rotational player for the Bobcats. Because he was a second-round pick, it's fair to say that Robinson achieved moderate success in the league by earning those minutes. After he was traded to the Nets during the 06-07 season, Robinson played in ten games  and was out of the league the next season (largely due to a serious knee injury). Beyond that, there isn't much to say. Grade: C+

Raymond Felton- Round 1, Pick 5 (2005)- I'm torn on how to contextualize this pick. With a 5th pick in a typical draft, you're generally expected to get a competent-to-great starter. And to some extent, that's what the Bobcats got. Felton has never boasted a particularly high field goal percentage (it has generally hovered around 40% for most of his career), leading many to say he wasn't (and isn't) an efficient scorer. That's a fair complaint, though Felton's true shooting percentage has generally improved over time. Felton also isn't a particularly dynamic passer, but he's perfectly adequate. What really defines Felton is his impressive propensity to be a perfectly acceptable starting point guard. He's hardly ever been considered a top-tier point guard, but he's also hardly ever been considered among the league's worst starting point guards. Felton was thoroughly ok throughout his career with the Bobcats, and that makes his selection as the 5th pick perfectly neutral. It wasn't a bad pick, but it also wasn't a particularly good pick, which fits Felton well. Grade: B-

Sean May- Round 1, Pick 13 (2005)- There are few players more intriguing and disappointing to me than Sean May. By almost all accounts, May never really panned out for the Bobcats. In three seasons with the team, he played in only 82 games (or one full season). What made May interesting when he did play, however, was his effective contribution. In his first two injury-plagued seasons with the Bobcats, May produced PERs of 15.3 and 19.1, both of which are above average (especially for a young player). When he actually managed to stay on the court, May averaged more than 17 points and about 10 rebounds (per 36 minutes) during both of his first two seasons. If May had been able to stay injury-free, he might have become a competent starter and even a centerpiece for future franchise success. Alas, he was never able to do that, and therefore his career must be categorized as largely a failure. Grade: C-

 

As always, big thanks to Basketball Reference for continuing to be a fantastic player data analysis tool. Part 2 of this series will likely be coming very soon. 

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I liked those picks and I would kill to have Emeka and Felton back

i don’t think that there is anything wrong with those draft selections. Those lottery players complemented each other: a defensive center, a point guard with championship pedigree, and a low post scorer who was the main scorer for a team that won a NCAA championship. No one could have predicted that Sean May would have followed his father’s footsteps and eat himself out of the NBA.

While Felton and Emeka aren’t Chris Paul and Dwight Howard—guys selected ahead of them in the draft—most NBA teams would kill to have them as their staring PG and Center. Heck i wish the Cats still had them. Most cats fan would probably do back flips if Bismark and Kemba can match Felton and Emeka’s court production…

by teddygreen on Sep 28, 2011 9:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually

I pray that Kemba can do more…I was never a Felton fan.

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Count my vote there, too.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 29, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Really? ANYBODY could have predicted what would happen to May.

The red flags were there in college, and it was obvious to anybody that he was not disciplined or motivated enough to be what he could have been as soon as the NBA money started flowing.

P.S.: Nobody would “kill” to have Felton as their starter. That’s why he’s already been given up on by three teams in his career.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 29, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ding Ding Ding

Felton and May were draft picks for the Bobcats because the ACC roots and UNC Aumni wanted to grab hold of the UNC fans for the Bobcats.

Sadly, I could have lived with the Felton pick…but May’s future was so predictable.

I know hindsight is 20/20 but look at picks past May:
Granger
Lee
Bass…and that’s if we were going to draft a forward

Step back one step further…Instead of Felton…we draft a center:
Bynum
Channing Frye
then we move Okafor to PF. Think of Okafor and Bynum in the frontcourt. Could have been entertaining.

We could have even gambled an took some kid named Monta Ellis…
But the past is the past

Without May, we couldn’t have had countless fat jokes about him.

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't like Bynum and Okafor playing together.

If you’re going to go that big, it works better if one of those guys is a more mobile finesse player to compliment the more traditional 5 who stays in the post. A center and a power forward works together far better than two centers.

by Basketball Rambler on Oct 4, 2011 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

clearing it up...

I should have been a little more specific. Most teams would kill to have the “duo” of Felton and Emeka as their starting point guard and center.

As for May, you’re so right in that he did battle weight issues in college. the red flags were there. i don’t want to play pop psychologist by trying to get inside the head of Sean May, but what makes him so frustrating is that he was placed in such a great environment to succeed.

As a player, if you can’t find motivation by playing for fans who seen you develop since you were a teen, possessing both the talent to make oodles of money, and having the opportunity to avoid following the cautionary tale of your father, than your just not cut out to be an NBA player.

by teddygreen on Sep 29, 2011 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not true, most teams in the league have a better 1 and 4/5 on their roster.

"With the third pick of the 2006 NBA Draft, the Charlotte Bobcats select, Adam Morrison, Gonzaga."

by FirstCat on Sep 29, 2011 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree.

That’s his game.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why do ppl think Felton was “given up on”…? NY traded him bc they were getting CARMELO & BILLUPS. Denver already had a starter and stated that way before Felton’s plane landed. Plus EVERYONE knew that Felton and lawson wouldnt work bc both are starting caliber players. So why not trade Felton for a vet PG, a future second rd’r, the 26th pick (Jordan Hamilton)…seems like Felton has value to me. And for good reason.

by focuslja on Sep 29, 2011 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

but what if Hamilton is never more than a role player off the bench?

We are so full of speculation…why not speculate that Felton’s value was that of “average” and he got average value for their team…

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 30, 2011 7:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

The Knicks could have traded plenty of other players to make the money work.

And if you’d call a broken-down PG, a late #1, and a late #1 “value,” well, then perhaps you are more on board with Jordan’s fire sale than I would have thought.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

please take anyone but Adam Morrison

The horrific draft selections didn’t really start until 2006 when the Cats used a top three pick on an notorious mustache having unathletic swingman from the Pacific Northwest…

by teddygreen on Sep 28, 2011 9:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Hard to say that.

He never got much of a chance after his knee injury.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 29, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I tend to agree.

I’m fairly certain that he could do Matt Carroll’s job…spot up and shoot some…

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

2006 was a bad draft but we could have more than that with the 3rd pick

I till remember Stephen A Smith who was one of the commentators covering the draft for ESPN, saying that the Cats took Adam Morrison because he was box office.

by teddygreen on Sep 29, 2011 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

At least.

Wouldn’t have been a great pick, particularly for a #3, but he could have at least stuck as a rotation player.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Criticize Felton all you want. He's not without his flaws...

but how do you hold Felton to such a high standard and then turn around and say “Morrison could at least stick around as a rotation player.”

How can anyone not be disappointed in the draft bust that was Adam Morrison? He was a top three pick who is now out of the league after his rookie deal. We shouldn’t be remembering this guy fondly.

by Basketball Rambler on Oct 4, 2011 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

Morrison got hurt. Felton had no excuse.

He simply never improved.

Personal attacks are the weapon of the ignorant.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Oct 5, 2011 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

How many players come back from Morrison's same injury?

Plenty. Yea, his knee would never be quite the same again, but Morrison’s game didn’t really rely on explosiveness. He’s not in the league anymore because he was a scorer who couldn’t score. I feel bad for the guy, but he just isn’t NBA level talent. If he was, he’d be playing for the Celtics or the Mavs poppin’ tres in the playoffs despite having a bad knee. If Sean Livingston can hang around the league after what he went through, how do you give Morrison a free pass?

Felton’s an average PG who’s a disapointment compared to stars like Paul and Williams. Morrison is a disapointment in any conversation.

by Basketball Rambler on Oct 6, 2011 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

To be clear

When I say he’s not an NBA level talent, I mean in terms of execution. There were some ramblings that he actually played well in summer league games and practice while with the Lakers. But he never produced anything in game time. Considering the kind of mediocrity that bounces around the margins of the League every year, if he had enough to produce in an actual game, Morrison would have found a place in the NBA.

by Basketball Rambler on Oct 6, 2011 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sure, but all of those players had more athleticism to start with.

It’s not about what his game was based on. It’s about where his athletic ability was relative to the league. It was below-average before his injury, and it became extraordinarily deficient afterwards. Livingston is a ridiculous comparison, as he was a supreme athlete before his injury, and even afterwards could run circles around Morrison’s current state. Morrison was an all-rookie player his first year before his injury, which hardly qualifies one as a “disappointment in any conversation.”

Personal attacks are the weapon of the ignorant.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Oct 6, 2011 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with you completely

Morrison was the kind of player who was barely athletic enough to play in the NBA when he was 100% healthy. Add to that, he’s a diabetic, which complicates any injury issue. This isn’t new information, the red flags were there before Morrison was drafted.

I also agree that the Livingston comparison is ridiculous. It’s simply not fair to compare a world class professional athlete to Adam Morrison. That’s sort of like comparing an NBA athlete to, well, someone who’s not an NBA athlete.

A high draft pick making an all rookie second team is kind of a joke. I’m more impressed that Walter Herman made the team the same year.

So you’re saying that Felton is a bigger disappointment than Morrison (or that Morrison’s not a disappointment at all). Let’s compare their rookie years then.

1) Both played roughly the same number of minutes and scored the same number of points.

2) Both had poor FG and 3pt shooting percentages, but Felton’s were decidedly better than Morrison’s (wasn’t shooting Adam’s strength in college?). Felton shot free throws slightly better as well.

3) Felton out rebounded Morrison. When a point guard gets more boards than your small forward/shooting guard, it’s because your point guard is trying harder(Or because one actually has the athletic abilities to be in the NBA while another doesn’t, you decide). Again, it’s a 6’1 player out-rebounding a 6’7 player.

4) Assists and steals, Felton’s the obvious winner here.

So who is a more valuable player? Felton’s the obvious answer. Again, I can understand criticizing Felton because he had a lot of flaws, but he’s far and away a better draft pick than Morrison. That’s a no brainer and it has NOTHING to do with the knee injury.

Bob Johnson and co. drafted Morrison for the wrong reasons. The brilliant irony is, even after Morrison’s colossal failure as an NBA player, those wrong reasons are still in play in the Bobcats fan base. We still have people who will make apologies for Ammo just because of who he is rather than judge him for how he plays basketball. Maybe Bob Johnson was smarter than we all realize.

by Basketball Rambler on Oct 8, 2011 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree too. I think Morrison could contribute.

He just had injury problems, lack of athletic ability, and was drafted too high. He could help a team out there..as a decent bench guy.

by senelcoolidge on Oct 1, 2011 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was less about keeping Sean May healthy

and more about keeping him out of the kitchen, vending machine, restaurants, etc.

And I just want to comment that the description of Felton is excellent and kind of funny. Has there ever been a more completely and totally “averageish” player in the history of the NBA? He does everything merely okay, but nothing great or badly. He was just sort’ve there.

by Panthers FTW on Sep 29, 2011 10:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Ding Ding Ding

I pray Biz and Kemba blow these guys out of the water, but if Biz can at least match Okafor, I’ll be happy. Kemba had better blow Felton out of the water.

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

If Biyombo matches Okafor, I'll eat my socks.

His offensive game isn’t as good as Okafor’s was coming out of high school.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 29, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know...

Is his rebounding and blocking as good as Okafor’s? I’m not being a smart butt…I just don’t know.

I would imagine no because Okafor played college ball and learned a lot where Biz is much more raw, and will have to be built in the NBA, while Okafor was able to hone skills in college.

I am in no way defending or picking a fight. I’ve only seen Biz highlights in the Nike Hoops thing…and it wasn’t showing a lot.

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

7th pick

and only until recently is there some HUGE jump in the top 10…some sizeable ones but not HUGE…

by focuslja on Sep 29, 2011 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't disagree.

But the worship being done of his “potential” is getting a little overboard.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

So is his condemnation

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 30, 2011 5:49 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I'm not condemning anybody.

I’m asking for people to consider that he’s not a savior given his lack of professional production and extraordinarily raw skillset.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Oct 2, 2011 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Understood...

then again…
What if…
What if you’re wrong?
I can consider he may not be what we are hoping for…but I can’t do that until I see him on an NBA court, against NBA players, for at least 1 NBA season, not playing well, not improving…
Then, and only then, I may agree with you.
For now I’ll stay positive and watch the lockout march on.

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Oct 3, 2011 7:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

No, he shoots really, REALLY badly.

And his end-game decision making is also among the worst I’ve ever seen. But he was quick, drove the lane pretty well, and defended competently for a PG, even on some two-guards.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 29, 2011 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

He would be a decent backup for Kemba

He’s not a bad backup for any team. Just not a starter

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Absolutely.

I think his best role is a Ben Gordon-like 6th man who comes in when his team needs offense. The skillsets aren’t the same, but the aim of the player is.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Felton is the definition of average.

I'm gonna live forever, I'm never gonna die. The only thing I fear is I'm never gonna fly.

by Charlotte Bobcat on Sep 30, 2011 8:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hard to grade the Felton-May picks without considering the context.

We could have had Chris Paul (who has been, you know, one of if not THE best PGs in the league), but there was some misguided belief that drafting UNC players would boost attendance and interest in the team. Whoops.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 29, 2011 12:02 PM EDT reply actions  

And we would have had to done something to trade up to get him, right?

I never was clear on the hows and whys…
Similar for me with Dwight Howard…

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 29, 2011 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dwight Howard was just bad luck.

It was neck-and-neck between Oak and Howard for #1 overall but the Magic got lucky and picked the elite player.

Okafor outperformed him in year one (ROY!) but after that, it was never really much a contest.

by Panthers FTW on Sep 29, 2011 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Which wasn't surprising.

Howard was always the higher-upside player, but he came straight out of high school. There was lots of learning to be done, and perhaps a good bit of risk, too. Right or wrong, the Bobcats wanted a smart, steady player they could count on to be a consistent high-character guy in building up the franchise. Championship experience was one of the reasons they took Okafor, Felton, and May. They believed they needed to instill a winning attitude in the organization, and players who had great college success were often taken ahead of those with more supposed NBA upside.

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I mean, yes, something...

But that something was only trading the picks that became Felton and May for the spot that landed him..

Advance apologies if the contents of this sports-based post offended you. I'm just aiming to educate the masses. My law professor says they're asses.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Sep 30, 2011 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good grades on all except May, IMO.

A late lottery pick that hardly ever saw the floor, regardless of how well he played when he did manage to put the cheeseburgers down, has gotta be a D, at least in my eyes. Felton was always meh. He can be a starter for a championship team, but he’s gotta be the worst starter on the floor. I still miss Okie especially considering how hard its been to find anybody anywhere near his consistency in the front court.

"If ya ain't first, you're last."
- Ricky Bobby's Dad

"There is no evidence that the tongue is connected to the brain."
-Frank Tyger

by KaiserBromley on Sep 30, 2011 12:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Oh to bring Okafor back

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Sep 30, 2011 5:51 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Just caught this from the photo caption

Charlotte Bobcats forward Emeka Okafor, right, blocks a shot by Oklahoma City Thunder guard Russell Westbrook, left, in the third quarter of an NBA basketball game in Oklahoma City, Friday, April 10, 2009. Okafor also fouled Westbrook on the play. Oklahoma City won the game 84-81.

I didn’t think it was a block if you fouled. Maybe that’s just me.

My heart pumps no Kool-Aid

by Bring Back Primoz on Oct 7, 2011 10:57 AM EDT reply actions  

I saw that and wondered as well.

Looking at hands, it’s ALL ball…so maybe he bumped him with his body?

Contact prior to the block that wasn’t…or was…

Bobcats Basketball is my only pro sports passion...

by andrewlail76 on Oct 7, 2011 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

NBA Draft Picks: Expected Performance

http://82games.com/nbadraftpicks.htm

Average career stats for draft picks from 1989-2008:
No. 2: 583 games, 29.6 minutes, 12.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, 2.8 assists
No. 5: 552 games, 28.7 minutes, 13.4 points, 4.9 rebounds, 2.7 assists
No. 13: 447 games, 22.7 minutes, 9.8 points, 3.7 rebounds, 1.9 assists
No. 45: 197 games, 14.0 minutes, 4.7 points, 2.1 rebounds, 1.0 assists

by RP_45 on Oct 13, 2011 1:40 PM EDT reply actions  

And the correlating numbers for our guys:

Okafor: 484, 32.8, 12.9, 10.2, 0.8
Felton: 474, 35.2, 13.7, 3.4, 6.7
May: 119, 15.7, 6.9, 4.0, 1.0
Robinson: 128, 14.9, 4.5, 2.5, 1.0

Kind of crazy to see that Bernard friggin’ Robinson finished with more career games played than Sean May.

Personal attacks are the weapon of the ignorant.

Panthers '011: This is what we've been waiting for...we get to overpay the core of a 2-14 team!

by MichaelProcton on Oct 13, 2011 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

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