Developing Stories for the Bobcats
You can find two dozen moments from last night's game when the Bobcats could have swung the game the other way... and another couple dozen moments when they got away with something that kept them close to the 76ers. As noted last night, I suspect we're seeing an uptick in offense, but we'll need more time to let the team's new talent level get established. The good news is that we hung with the Sixers, and if that's where we are for real, then luck will push us the other way the next time.
I think we're going to see three main stories developing in the coming month, at least until December 15th, when more players will become eligible to be traded:
1 -- The Cats' three point shooting either has to get better, or they have to shoot fewer threes, because they haven't shown they're good enough, as a team, to constantly take those shots. Sure, when they're making them at a reasonable rate, it's a good play for a team that's less talented than the competition, but we're still below 30% for the season.
2 -- Free throw shooting is a major problem. Charlotte sits 28th in the league right now at 70% from the line.
3 -- Finally, we cleared two rotation guys out for one in the Jackson trade. Doesn't that mean the untested guys now have minutes available to be, you know, tested? At the least, Gerald Henderson should build up to 20 minutes a night by March, and the others (Derrick Brown, Alexis Ajinca, random D-Leaguers) have got to play just about every game. This comes down to whether or not you think the team is playing for now or next season, or the year after. If they're playing for now, they've got to play an eight man rotation almost every night and squeeze the minutes out of Wallace and Jackson. Otherwise, everyone else has to play.
Highlights and lowlights from the Sixers game after the jump:
BAD-- Tyson Chandler's back and Boris Diaw's back spasms. Chandler's injury was, apparently, worse, keeping him out for all but about 15 minutes. Here's hoping they don't miss more time.
-- It's all marginal. When S-Jax shoots 9-21, but gets 26 points, he's not shooting well, which turns the ball over to the other team (more often than not), but getting to the line for 8 free throw attempts offsets that inefficiency. He's also forward-ish, so he can rebound, but that's only offsetting his turnovers. In other words, the 15-16 PERs year after year are making all kinds of sense. If Jackson's going to represent a real step forward, he has to play at the high end of his potential, and, point total aside, this isn't it.
-- 19 turnovers. Ouch. But that's right in line with what the Cats have been doing all year, with the 5th most turnovers in the league.
GOOD
-- Gerald Wallace continues to step up and rebound in Chandler's and Diaw's stead. This seems like it's partly a function of opportunity, but Wallace is converting those opportunities. 12 more boards tonight. Despite all that, it's probably too much to ask of him to carry on through the All Star break, and probably too far-fetched to ask of fans and coaches to consider him for a spot on the East.
-- Seriously, Nazr Mohammed has been an excellent bench player this year. Small sample size theatre, I know, but it's amazing to see it happen, against all expectations.
-- D.J. Augustin had possibly his best game of the season. 2-5 from three, 4 assists, and 0 turnovers in about 21 minutes. Good times. Build on it.
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Comments
Ouch
So these are the "new look" Bobcats. The saddest part is, the new look team still faces the same old and harsh realities of the NBA. In a Charlotte Observer interview, Jackson made the contractually required statement about how thrilled he was to be in Charlotte and then made an observation. He said that the team had every reason to believe they could make the playoffs this season as long as they learned to play together before they dug too deep a hole for themselves. Well, the reality is that each time you lose to a team you should beat it means you have to win one somewhere else. I crunched some schedule numbers yesterday and by my reckoning, the Cats needed to steal at least 4 wins from teams that on paper are better than they are in order to make the playoffs. That’s a hefty order, but one the team has managed in the past. They’ve already beaten this year’s breakout Hawks team, so there was reason to hope. With last night’s loss against a team they should have beaten handily, that number rises to 5 and the hole just got a bit deeper. By my math the team had a 40 win season within reach and a .500 season didn’t involve a lamp and 3 wishes. If we lose another couple like last night, we’re gonna need that lamp and several old ladies in taffeta singing "bibbity-bobbity-boo."
So what went wrong last night, apart from Jackson’s prophetic hole growing deeper? Well, in the first half we gave up offensive rebounds to one of the worst boarding teams in the NBA while not picking up a single second-chance board for ourselves. Not a good sign. We also turned the ball over 9 times in the opening chapter alone. We had repeated shot clock violations and despite Felton dropping in a couple of pretty shots, we were trapped in the Land of the Desperation Jumpshot early on.
I would list a plus that Tyson Chandler showed signs of life except for one thing. In commenting on the last game I said that Chandler appeared to have a Constitutionally guaranteed lengthy foul trouble rest each game. Last night he got through the first half without foul trouble. The people rejoiced and somewhere an angel got its wings. Everyone was happy except Chandler himself. Realizing that he was in danger of actually having to play an entire game, he suddenly developed back spasms. Since I’m laid up in this chair due to severe disc and nerve damage to my lower spine, I know a thing or two about spasms. When they hit, I can’t so much as take a deep breath because of the pain and small convulsive jerks that wrack my torso. They’ll even wake me out of a sound sleep. Yet every time I saw Chandler in the second half he was leaned forward and comfortably chatting with his bench mates. Meanwhile I watched Boris Diaw out on the court try to extend for a shot only to have his eyes go suddenly wide and fearful as if he’d just confronted the business end of a Grizzly. (I mean the 8 foot furry kind with the 7 inch claws, not the comparatively toothless cubbies that play in Memphis.) Boris Diaw was having massive spasms and he was playing in an NBA ballgame. Tyson Chandler was doggin’ it and this team has no chance as long as he’s around. Nobody, not even Chandler himself, is ever going to convince me otherwise. He can have a double-double in Milwaukee and score the winning basket at the buzzer and it won’t change my mind. He’s getting a free ride and he knows it. Dubs fans claimed they were getting rid of a cancer when Jackson left town, well we have a tumor of our own already.
by Ourdaywillcome on Nov 19, 2009 10:14 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
Great post
Tyson Chandler is a total waste of space. At this point I think Coach Brown and MJ are giving it just a little more time before they have to pull him and start Mohammad.
The ‘he was injured and is getting his game back’ wore off about 5 games ago.
Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.
by James The Aussie on Nov 19, 2009 10:39 AM EST up reply actions
It never stuck for me at all.
As a professional ballplayer, his job is to be ready to go from game 1 to 82. If he’s not, that’s nobody’s fault but his (and ours for trading for the perpetually injured stiff.)
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 2:52 PM EST up reply actions
Playoffs? Really?
Your optimism is commendable, but the Bobcats are on pace to win 22 games this season. I don’t think that’s an unreasonable expectation. Right now very few teams wouldn’t be favored to beat the Bobcats so they’ll need to “steal” a lot more than four games to have a reasonable shot at playoff contention.
That's 22.3, dick!
This team is going places.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 2:53 PM EST up reply actions
Love reading your posts
Always provide an eloquent perspective.
I'm still not entirely sure why this is a game we should have won.
We were playing against a team ahead of us in the standings on the road (where you claim we’re lost because of how much the Bobcats like playing on their own home court and how much better they play there.) We now need to go 38-33 the rest of the way, and the hole gets deeper (and the end result looks that much more unlikely) every game.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 3:06 PM EST up reply actions
Michael
I’ve been logical. I’ve tried being civilized. I’ve even been blunt. You have repeatedly twisted my words as I spoke of things (such as the importance of road wins to ANY team in the NBA and not just the Bobcats) It is ludicrous and childish to state that a team would DISLIKE playing at home or claim that a team plays better on the road than they do on their home court. Your discussion of the hole getting deeper merely restates the essence of my entire post. My knowledge or lack of the same regarding basketball or any other topic I discuss should be very clear to anyone that reads my posts.
As to your discussion of what makes a good point guard, my first pro game ever was between the Celtic and the Nicks at the Boston Garden and featured a matchup involving Nate “Tiny” Archibald and Walt Frazier so don’t even attempt to school me on the necessary skills it takes to play point.
From here on out it works like this – feel free to comment on my posts as usual, but don’t expect me to either rise to your bait or remain polite unless you extend the same decency and respect for opinions that I extend to you. Karma is the word of the day. You extend the dialogue in an intelligent manner and I’ll do the same in return. If you continue to attribute things to me that I have not said, or deliberately apply pretzel logic to my comments you’ll get a plateful of nasty right back atcha. But I refuse to engage in dialogue any further with someone with such an incomplete understanding of the game that their fundamental understanding of “pick and roll” is that they are the two stages of dealing with snot.
by Ourdaywillcome on Nov 19, 2009 9:23 PM EST up reply actions
You should certainly respond to whatever you want however you want.
That’s your prerogative as a human being. But I have yet to engage in personal attacks, as you’ve just done.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 20, 2009 11:02 AM EST up reply actions
Terrance Williams got 33 minutes last night.
Budinger has been getting 20+ for the Rockets. The rookies on the Cats feel blessed if the squeeze in just over 5 minutes a game. This is pathetic. I seriously think both Henderson and Brown could be seriously contributing if they were getting minutes now, contributing moreso later this season with some burn early on.
Blogging at Ridiculous Upside, where my terrible writing meets people's eyes.
It is getting a little stupid.
It’s beyond the ‘Larry Brown doesn’t like rookies stage’ because D.J got over 26 minutes a game last season and through the first 15 games played averaged 29.2 minutes.
Something is going on.
Cat Scratch Reader's resident optimist.
by James The Aussie on Nov 19, 2009 12:30 PM EST up reply actions
DJ got so many minutes
because he was our only backup pg. Every team has to have a good backup pg. Remember when Mciniss was our backup. It was so terrible to watch. Also, it might have something to do with LB loving to teach point guards. I think Brown just plays rooks if he has to. We have too many guards for him to squeeze henderson in right now. I would love to see him play though and hopefully he is gonna be a great energy guy off the bench after we get rid of one of the guards we have now. I’m not too sure why hes not playing brown though. You would think he could help out at backup pf.
Haha...
McInnis was the starter because Felton couldn’t (and, well, can’t) effectively run an NBA offense to save his life.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 3:00 PM EST up reply actions
Not exactly.
As Mr. M points out, Augustin played out of necessity. He and Iverson are basically the only two rookies Brown’s ever given any significant time to.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 2:55 PM EST up reply actions
Also
Both Gerald Wallace and Stephen Jackson played over 45 minutes last night. Wallace leads the entire NBA in minutes per game at 42.2 and the next closest is Deron Williams and he’s under 40 per game. We all know that Wallace probably also leads the league at crashing to the floor. That is a pretty dangerous combination and I don’t think he’ll alter the way he plays so if his minutes stay this high, it could be a recipe for disaster later in the season. I’m not sure how durable Jackson is but in the two games with Charlotte, he has averaged 45 minutes after averaging 33.3 with Golden State. Derrick Brown and Henderson are not terrible so I don’t see the problem with taking about 8-10 minutes away from both Jackson and Wallace so they’re legs don’t fall off and thereby giving the rooks some more run. Makes no sense to me.
Maybe Larry Brown has just lost it.....
and thinks this team is a solid playoff contender. Maybe he’s having flash backs to his Pistons teams and doesn’t realize that Raymond Felton and Chauncey Billups are not one in the same.
Blogging at Ridiculous Upside, where my terrible writing meets people's eyes.
LOL...
Remember how Brown was going to “fix” Ray Ray like he did Billups? Ha.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 2:51 PM EST up reply actions
Poor decision making, ineffective big men, turnovers, low field goal percentage, lack of scoring, etc. LB has a big mess on his hands. I really think that if he stops being so cerebral with them & just lets them run up & down the court outracing their opponents the offense will pick up. These guys are not the group you want running set plays on offense, especially with the lack of a smart decision making leader at PG.
"it's a bad day to have a bad day"
You make Brown sound like a victim.
He’s built this entire roster based on his own desires.
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
by MichaelProcton on Nov 19, 2009 2:48 PM EST up reply actions
I don't know if Mohammed's play should come as a total surprise...
As much as he sucked last year (and he did suck), he’s putting up very similar numbers (a little better, yes) to the rest of his career. He’s old, but he is what he is: a mediocre big who could give 15-20 solid minutes a night if his coach was willing to let him do so..
Remember when the Panthers had a good offensive line? Yeah, me too.
--Darin Gantt
Welcome to the Steven Jackson years
Come on over to Golden State of Mind after JAX has a couple more 9-21 performances, we know how to treat those wounds.
BTW, are you pissed off yet at the number of times he does not run back on defense after a good call he thinks is bad?
So you guys struggle at free throws.....
Maggette for Wallace? Lol
Rookie: "Why did you bench me?"
Nellie: "You're a rookie"

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